Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 3.389417 3.589405 3.802776 4.048742 4.326238 4.631777 4.996696
2025-06-15 3.095864 3.366019 3.669435 4.040131 4.487614 5.019892 5.716641
2025-06-22 2.816425 3.119648 3.473053 3.924185 4.498866 5.228611 6.267252
2025-06-29 2.573899 2.890231 3.269256 3.769782 4.435624 5.329297 6.701703
2025-07-06 2.406151 2.734821 3.138549 3.688688 4.451572 5.534089 7.337801
2025-07-13 2.345502 2.704860 3.159819 3.804595 4.748429 6.194262 8.916313
2025-07-20 2.266282 2.643740 3.133360 3.850220 4.949812 6.756887 10.608679
2025-07-27 2.236635 2.643461 3.186134 4.011963 5.354244 7.775184 13.993538
2025-08-03 2.187605 2.612726 3.192831 4.104638 5.663730 8.733069 18.422588
2025-08-10 2.102789 2.527237 3.114436 4.056046 5.719179 9.193955 22.106675
2025-08-17 1.993122 2.401481 2.969567 3.888006 5.532275 9.056818 23.212695
2025-08-24 1.917554 2.319707 2.884137 3.808757 5.501012 9.287895 26.834127
2025-08-31 1.847900 2.248704 2.818684 3.771083 5.574397 9.899385 36.246561
2025-09-07 1.794852 2.198888 2.782189 3.779641 5.746988 10.903609 61.707277
2025-09-14 1.721856 2.116994 2.692052 3.687796 5.696839 11.245103 94.162343
2025-09-21 1.645370 2.026896 2.584596 3.556981 5.543987 11.199940 129.397332
2025-09-28 1.588783 1.963535 2.515374 3.488790 5.521484 11.624637 376.715552
2025-10-05 1.574818 1.961847 2.542240 3.596476 5.925611 14.056541 NaN
2025-10-12 1.548134 1.939769 2.534940 3.639928 6.190527 16.345706 NaN
2025-10-19 1.542778 1.949237 2.579035 3.787065 6.772647 21.861378 NaN
2025-10-26 1.525609 1.939643 2.590684 3.871470 7.218365 28.664330 NaN
2025-11-02 1.487812 1.896498 2.543075 3.828769 7.271301 32.159172 NaN
2025-11-09 1.434145 1.826948 2.447479 3.678189 6.953987 29.923109 NaN